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Trade Execution Plan BTC/USD (Daily Bias – Bullish Retrace Buy)
1️⃣ HTF Context Reminder
- Bias utama: Bullish continuation
- OTE zone: 115.400–112.800
- CE/FVG midpoint: 119.800
- External liquidity target: 130.000
2️⃣ LTF Confirmation Logic (H4 → H1)
Kita tunggu re-entry confirmation pada retracement ke OTE zone.
🔍 Step-by-Step Trigger Plan
| Timeframe | Konfirmasi | Keterangan |
|---|---|---|
| H4 | Tunggu candle close bullish di dalam OTE (bullish rejection wick panjang bawah). | Tanda pertama likuiditas bawah tersapu (SSL taken). |
| H1 | Tunggu Market Structure Shift (MSS) atau Change in State of Delivery (CISD). | Konfirmasi buyer mulai ambil kontrol. |
| H1 | Entry Buy limit/market saat retest OB/FVG kecil setelah MSS. | Gunakan area CE OB sebagai entry ref. |
| H1 SL | Di bawah swing low MSS (≈111.800). | Di luar liquidity. |
| TP1 | 125.500 → EQH + BRN. | Partial close. |
| TP2 / Final | 130.000 → External liquidity. | Trail stop. |
3️⃣ Risk Model
- Risk per trade: 0.5–1%
- RRR: ≥2.5R
- Partial close at CE/TP1.
- Scale-in only after BOS profit (≥1R gain).
4️⃣ Trigger Checklist (Execution Readiness)
✅ Price masuk ke OTE 115.4–112.8
✅ H4 bullish rejection (long wick bawah)
✅ MSS/CISD bullish pada H1
✅ Retest OB/FVG kecil di H1 untuk entry
✅ Volume NY session meningkat
➡ Jika semua ✅, probabilitas naik ke ≈82–84% (Very Strong)
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